Thursday, January 29, 2009

Another Reason to Steer Away from HFCS? The Outdated Study

(Continuation from previous posts – here and here)

Well, I wanted to finish exploring the risks from potential mercury exposure in foods containing HFCS, to flesh out the somewhat cryptic posts I’ve been writing (you write long posts, you end up writing not very many of them). But tonight I have to stop and explore the pedigree of the data instead.

This came about because the Corn Refiners Association challenged the relevance of the mercury residue testing study of HFCS (high-fructose corn syrup) published earlier this week:

“This study appears to be based on outdated information of dubious significance. Our industry has used mercury-free versions of the two re-agents mentioned in the study, hydrochloric acid and caustic soda, for several years. These mercury-free re-agents perform important functions, including adjusting pH balances,” stated Audrae Erickson, President, Corn Refiners Association. “For more than 150 years, corn wet millers have been perfecting the process of refining corn to make safe ingredients for the American food supply.”

“It is important that Americans are provided accurate, science-based information. They should know that high fructose corn syrup is safe,” continued Erickson. “In 1983, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration formally listed high fructose corn syrup as safe for use in food and reaffirmed that decision in 1996.”

“High fructose corn syrup contains no artificial or synthetic ingredients or color additives and meets FDA’s requirements for the use of the term ‘natural.”

I’ll glide by for now the statement that HFCS meets FDA requirements for use of the term natural, which is no doubt accurate, but brings questions to mind about what “natural” really means.

The press release didn’t cite any product stewardship information which would support the assertion that caustic soda and hydrochloric acid used in food manufacturing is mercury-free. Maybe the individual manufacturers provide that information, but it sure seems like we have to search it out. . . . EPA states there are five operating mercury cell chlor-alkali plants in the U.S., with one of these plants planning to convert to non-mercury technology by 2012. Based on the most recently available industry census (2002), there are 40 alkali and chlorine manufacturing plants of all sizes in the U.S. Twenty of those facilities have 20 employees or fewer, so there is only a limited pool of facilities to supply the needs of a large food processing industry. I haven’t searched out international data on chlor-alkali manufacturing (look, the industry association should be doing this research, not me). If you make a chain of assumptions, it’s possible to assert that the corn refining industry uses mercury-free reagents, but right now, it doesn’t look supportable. The best course of action for the moment is to make the rebuttable presumption that the corn refining industry buys at least some reagents manufactured using a mercury cell chlor-alkali process to manufacture a couple of billion of dollars worth of HFCS each year, and that there could have been some mercury exposure (or continues to be some exposure) from HFCS and let’s continue assessing the health risks from potential mercury exposure.

Returning to risk assessment stuff now.

Labels: , ,

Another Reason to Steer Away from HFCS? Some Rough Calculations

(Continuation from a previous post)

[See the update from 1/31/2009, which corrects an error in the calculations in the original post]

Last night, I took a run at calculating the mercury exposure from IATP’s residue data, using the food ingestion rates from FDA’s Total Diet Study (TDS). I obtained a maximum intake rate similar to the recently published study (my value, 23.2 ug/day, DuFault et al., 2009, 28.4 ug/day), though they are basing their calculations on a total estimated intake of HFCS, while the result I obtained was for a single carbonated soft drink (I’ll be uploading the spreadsheet with the calculations shortly). I get a somewhat higher number when I add together all of the intakes from the TDS food items, but I’m confirming how TDS results are supposed to be presented before publishing a number. Doubtlessly, the estimates of exposure will be refined as more people weigh in on this topic.

For the sake of discussion, how does a mercury intake rate from 23 to 28 ug/day compare with other estimates? The European Union in its examination of dental amalgam exposure cites an inorganic mercury intake rate of 4.3 ug/day, so the findings for HFCS would seem to be a little unexpected. A better idea will come from a comparison with EPA’s oral Reference Dose.

More analysis forthcoming.

UPDATED 1/31/2009

I found an error while doing some more work with the spreadsheet. It was a units error: IATP reports their results in parts-per-trillion, which is also expressed as picograms per gram. I had originally expressed IATP’s results as nanograms per gram, three orders of magnitude higher. Picogram per gram is one trillionth of a gram, which is consistent wit parts per trillion. Serves me right trying to do analysis around the news cycle.

This changes my results by three orders of magnitude, so the mercury intake rate for a single carbonated beverage is 0.0232 ug/day, and is well below the published value. This makes more sense now – one product made from HFCS shouldn’t provide a dose comparable to the dose from total HFCS consumption. My apologies for any misinformation that has resulted.

Labels: , ,

Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Another Reason to Steer Away from HFCS?

Earlier this week, the Institute for Agriculture and Trade Policy published a report of laboratory analyses for mercury in food products containing high-fructose corn syrup (HFCS). The report can be linked here. A table with the analytical results can be linked here. In addition, a preliminary report of analyses of batches of HFCS has been published in the Open Access journal Environmental Health. It seems that chemicals used in processing HFCS, and that are manufactured using a mercury chlor-alkali process, are contaminated with traces of mercury. There’s a little flurry about this in the news (this article in the Guardian is pretty informative), but it doesn’t look like anyone has cranked the mercury concentrations through a risk assessment to see how significant the contamination is.

I will be interested in what the risks look like once someone gets around to assessing them. Of course, I’m still thinking that the best reason to stay away from HFCS has nothing to do with the contaminants.

Labels: ,

Friday, January 23, 2009

PFOA Toxic Torts and the Future of Risk Assessment

Perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA) has been used used to manufacture Teflon and other non-stick and stain-resistant products. It is highly persistent in the environment and bioaccumulates efficiently through the foodchain and into biota. Therefore, PFOA contamination has been found in drinking water and house dust, and has been detected in significant portion of human blood samples. PFOA affects primarily the liver and can cause developmental and reproductive toxic effects at relatively low dose levels in experimental animals. It’s increased tumor incidence in rats, mainly in the liver. Epidemiological studies in PFOA-exposed workers do not indicate an increased cancer risk. Some have shown associations with elevated cholesterol and triglycerides, or with changes in thyroid hormones, but overall there is no consistent pattern of changes. In recent studies, PFOA exposure of pregnant women, measured by maternal and/or cord serum levels was associated with reduced birth weight. The European Food Safety Authority (EFSA) noted that these observations could be due to chance, or to factors other than PFOA. EPA has recently developed a drinking water health advisory, based on reproductive effects in laboratory animals.

PFOA exposure has been the subject of multiple class-action lawsuits, filed on behalf of residents who have been exposed through contaminated groundwater. More information about the regulatory and litigation issues can be found on SKAPP’s web site. According to a January 20th news item published in the InsideEPA.com Risk Policy Report (“PFOA Rulings May Stymie Plaintiffs’ Use of EPA Risk Methods in Tort Suits”), Federal judges in West Virginia and New Jersey declined class-action status to plaintiffs seeking medical monitoring from DuPont due to contamination from perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA). These rulings were based in part because the plaintiffs used EPA-backed risk assessment methods to argue their cases.

According to the West Virginia court, plaintiffs seeking medical monitoring must show significant exposure, meaning exposure to higher levels or for a longer duration than the general public. Next, plaintiffs must show they experience a significantly increased risk of contracting a particular disease relative to that in the absence of exposure. The court agreed with DuPont that the plaintiffs as a class could not show an increased health risk, because each class member’s risk would vary based on variations in PFOA exposure and variations in each individual’s background risk in the absence of PFOA exposure (background risk may vary from person to person depending on individual characteristics and habits). Rejecting class action status creates an obstacle in the plaintiffs obtaining reimbursement from DuPont for the costs of medical monitoring. Just this month, the federal district court in New Jersey rejected a similar class action suit against DuPont.

An interesting development was the courts analyses of the role and limitations of regulatory risk assessment. In the opinion of the West Virginia judge, risk assessments were of limited utility in a toxic tort case especially for the issue of causation. Risk assessments have largely been developed for regulatory purposes, and serve a protective function in identifying levels below which there is no appreciable risk to the general population; they do not provide information about actual risk or causation. Risk assessments use appropriately prudent assumptions when there are limited data, and therefore intentionally present the upper range of possible risks. Other court decisions are cited for rejecting the use of regulatory standards as measures of causation because their role is to reduce exposure to harmful substances, and for determining that upper-bound risk estimates developed with EPA risk methods appropriately overstate risks for regulatory purposes (where caution is warranted), but are inappropriate for determining whether medical monitoring should be instituted.

The New Jersey court observed there is a difference between a “safe” level for public policy and regulatory purposes and the “significant exposure” that creates excessive risk triggering medical monitoring, and also concluded that a risk assessment methodology “does not work in the tort litigation context”, where a plaintiff must prove there is an actual increased risk of disease in order to receive medical monitoring.

Several things come to mind about the implications of these rulings, beyond setting the bar higher for plaintiffs exposed to toxic substances to be able to get relief through class-action suits. They reinforce the conventional wisdom that regulatory risk assessments are highly conservative and that they overstate the health risks associated with exposure to toxic substances:

While risk assessment information about a chemical can be somewhat useful in a toxic tort case, at least in terms of setting reasonable boundaries as to the likelihood of causation, the impetus for the development of risk assessment has been the regulatory process, which has different goals. Because of their use of appropriately prudent assumptions in areas of uncertainty and their use of default assumptions when there are limited data, risk assessments intentionally encompass the upper range of possible risks.

This isn’t a uniformly held view. There is a compelling argument made that the relationship between uncertainty and conservatism in risk assessment is complex, and that the conventional wisdom includes several unstated assumptions such as there is some underlying “true” risk that could be reflected by a “best estimate” of risk but which is being overstated by the regulatory risk assessment, and that decisions to manage that “true” risk can be made an unbiased manner without consideration of issues such as trust or equity.

In addition, it is possible that our current concepts of risk assessment, which grew out of the National Research Council’s (NRC) “Red Book”, and further articulated in the NRC’s “Blue Book” and the Presidential/Congressional Commission on Risk Assessment and Risk Management, have been superseded by more recent thinking about what biomarkers and toxicogenomics might be saying about the relationships between exposure and adverse effects, how cumulative risk concepts affect our notions of what’s a significant risk and what’s causation, and how risk assessors, regulators and the public (and judges and attorneys) should interact in understanding risks and decisions made to manage them. In particular, the variability in exposure that the courts used to reject the class action status might very well be the key to identifying the individuals who are at risk. However you can’t identify them without a monitoring program which evaluates variability. I think there is more work to be done here to get to a satisfactory remedy.

Labels: , ,